What
right do we have to say what countries may, and what countries may
not have nuclear weapons?
The
United States, Russia, Britain, France, China, India and Pakistan
have nuclear weapons. Israel probably has them too.
I
am not tickled with the idea of North Korea or Iran acquiring the
bomb. But they are sovereign nations. How would we like it, if Russia
tried to dictate to us what weapons we could produce, and how many?
How would we like it, if Chinese troops were stationed in Mexico?
The
U.S. and most of the western world are straining every effort to
prevent Iran and North Korea from getting nuclear weapons. Hardly any
politician, with the notable exception of Ron Paul, has even hinted
that we may be wasting our time or perhaps even making the situation
worse.
I
know. I know: Iran and North Korea are run by people of questionable
judgment and stability. But is treating them like children likely to
improve their behavior?
Pakistan
has the bomb. How stable is Pakistan? How many of their leaders have
been assassinated? How many Pakistani Muslim schools preach hatred
for the U.S.? Osama bin Laden was “hiding” right under the noses
of Pakistan's military. Yet Pakistan can have the bomb and Iran
can't?
We
can't turn back the clock or put the evil genie back in the bottle.
It is hopeless to try and stop the proliferation of nuclear weapons.
What
do children do when you tell them, “No, you can't have that.”?
They cry and kick and scream; exactly what North Korea and Iran are
doing. And they become even more determined to have the forbidden
fruit.
I
know it's difficult – but try to step back and view it from their
perspective. Like it or not, the U.S. is perceived by many countries
as the aggressor in Iraq and Afghanistan. And they note two important
facts: The U.S. is the only country that has used nuclear bombs in
anger, and has never invaded a country that has nuclear weapons.
Nuclear
weapons are different from conventional weapons in the degree of
devastation, but that does not justify a preemptive strike. How can
you justify saying, “We bombed them first, because we thought they
were about to bomb us.”?
Most
will argue that the threat of mutually assured destruction that ruled
the Cold War with Russia carries no weight with radical Muslims
anxious to commit suicide. I don't buy it. The mullahs may be able to persuade brainwashed radicals to blow themselves up for Allah, but the leaders don't seem to be that anxious to meet 72 virgins. That brave jihadist general, Osama bin Laden, had to be tracked down and offed in his lair.
We
should tell Iran and North Korea, and indeed any nation, “Sure, go
ahead and make all the nuclear weapons you want. We will not initiate
an attack on you.” But in secret diplomacy, we should tell them, in
a similar way that the Godfather warned assembled Mafiosos not to harm his son: “If a
nuclear weapon goes off anywhere in the world, you had better hope
that no evidence points to you as the source. If a lone terrorist
steals a bomb and detonates it, you'd better pray it was not one of
yours. If so, you may kiss your country goodbye.”
In
the short run, mutually assured destruction is the most viable path
to peace. In the long run, a vigorous anti-missile shield and
constant vigilance to block smuggling of “suitcase” bombs will be
essential second and third lines of defense against the nuclear
nightmare.
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